主题：Oil price shocks and Chinese banking performance: Do country risks matter?

主讲人：北京师范大学珠海分校李起铨副教授

主持人：发展研究院余津嫺副教授

时间：2018年10月11日（周四）上午10:30—12:00

地点：西南财经大学柳林校区经世楼B204

主办单位：发展研究院 经济学院 科研处

主讲人简介：

Chi-Chuan Lee received his PhD in Banking and Financial Market from Chengchi University in 2013and now serves asan Associate Professor of Management School at Beijing NormalUniversityZhuhai. He has publishedmany papersin economics and applied finance in leading journals(Journal of International Money and Finance, Energy Economics, Social Indicators Researchetc.).He servesas a reviewer for several international SSCI journalsandis a member of the Western Economic Association International and Taiwan Efficiency and Productivity Association.

内容提要：

This paper contributes to the existing literature by investigating the impacts of oil prices on bank performancethrougha broad array of CAMEL (Capital adequacy, Asset quality, Management, Earnings, and Liquidity) indicators in China over the period 2000–2014. To gain further insights into this issue, we also discuss whether the correlations change with different dimensions of country risk, i.e., economic, financial, and political, which extant studies ignored. The results reveal that oil prices have a significant impact on banking performance, as their increase triggers a reduction in banking performance in terms of capitalization, management efficiency, earning power, and liquidity. However, these adverse effects are mitigated by country stability, especially economic stability and political stability. These results are important for policy makers who should be cautious when formulating a strategy for macroeconomic stability. From the managerial perspective, bank managers should consider establishing early warning and response mechanisms on the back of oil price shocks in order to operate under better performance.